In the chart below, where I have excluded any special or supplemental dividends, it would be ideal if the forecast vs outcome bars are exactly the same height for all months. However, this is a utopia depending on several variables, inter alia exchange rate changes and the fact that the dividend may be increased or decreased during the year.
At the beginning of the year, I set a fixed exchange rate and dividend that I do not change during the year, provided that the dividend is not reduced during the year. This means that with a high probability, the forecast vs outcome bars will diverge more and more as the year goes on.
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