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Today is the actual election day for the EU Parliament in Sweden. Swedish residents in Sweden have had the opportunity to vote early since May 22. This election campaign has been surrounded by various influence campaigns from all sides. Even traditional media have participated in this.

In Sweden, there have been problems with election forecasts recently. The opinion agency Novus, which has been hired by SVT since January 2017 to compile voter barometers, was revealed in early December 2023 to have fabricated the number of respondents in its surveys. The company claims it's just a rounding error. However, in the 2022 government election, the state-run Swedish television's (SVT) election forecast, Novus' voter barometer, indicated the wrong outcome of the election.

I personally lost faith in election forecasts because of this. Unfortunately, you always have to think about who compiles or who orders the forecast these days.